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A scenario where Trump manages to make inroads with those voters would favor Duarte, Wasserman said. “Right now, the single most vulnerable Republican incumbent is John Duarte, in my view,” Wasserman said of the California races. Still, culture war issues are likely to take a backseat to the bread-and-butter economic matters driving daily discourse in the bulk of the district, including inflation, the cost of housing and the extreme commutes that many bedroom community residents face. Public safety and immigration will also likely factor into the campaign.
court-ordered districting
Though the district leans red, it’s not quite as crimson as its prior incarnation. But an influx of Bay Area refugees, driven east both by high home prices on the coast and the pandemic, have also brought their liberal politics with them. Kiley, a Republican Assemblymember from Rocklin, is a darling of California conservatism and a 37-year-old Ivy League-educated lawyer who ran a long-shot campaign for governor in last year’s recall race. He’s spent much of his legislative career introducing equally long-shot bills designed to irk and embarrass Democrats. In the primary, Kiley easily fended off a Republican Sacramento County Sheriff Scott Jones, helped by Kiley’s frequent appearances on Fox News and his position as one of Gov. Gavin Newsom’s most persistent critics. An endorsement by former President Donald Trump probably helped, too.
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The Ukraine aid bill came to the floor after months of delay and despite staunch opposition from the hard right, including a threat from Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene to call a vote to oust House Speaker Mike Johnson if he allowed such a vote. List of members of the United States House delegation from California, their terms in office, district boundaries, and their political ratings according to the CPVI. The delegation for the 118th Congress had a total of 52 members, with 40 Democrats, 11 Republicans and 1 vacancy.
How the House Voted on Foreign Aid to Ukraine, Israel and Taiwan
Following the 1940 census, California was apportioned 23 seats. Following the 1930 census, California was apportioned 20 seats. Following the 1910 census, California was apportioned 11 seats. Following the 1900 census, California was apportioned eight seats. Following the 1890 census, California was apportioned seven seats. Following the 1870 census, California was apportioned four seats.
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It also pops inland to take in Irvine, with its predictably left-leaning campus community. This district runs from Brea and Fullerton in north Orange County, out east to “Little India” in Artesia, before heading south to the center of the region’s political gravity in Westminster and Garden Grove — Little Saigon. Once presumed to be a Republican stronghold, the steretoype of a community full of anti-communist Cold Warriors hasn’t rung true for a while. Democrats now outnumber Republicans here, though turnout still tends to favor the GOP. There’s a little bit of San Fernando Valley to the south, a big chunk of Antelope Valley to the north, but the heart of this district is Santa Clarita. This is a historically conservative valley, populated by the “white flight” out of Los Angeles proper in the 1970s and domicile to many a suburb-seeking cop.
The 22nd is a majority Latino district that includes parts of Kern, Tulare and Kings counties, several small towns and a portion of Bakersfield. Voters here favored Biden over Trump by 13 percentage points in 2020, making Valadao one of the most vulnerable GOP incumbents in the country. Two years ago, this was the second-closest House race in the nation, with Duarte winning by just 564 votes. It will be one of the most avidly watched races in the country again this year.
Thompson, Huffman Host Press Conference Addressing California Insurance Crisis
The former mayor of San Juan Capistrano and retired financial planner ran against Levin in 2020 by leaning into his reputation as a smart, fiscally conservative money guy. This year he’s once again steering clear of the most incendiary hot-button issues that could alienate the area’s well-to-do voters, hoping that name recognition, a less favorable environment for Democrats and the new district will be enough to put him over the top. Like Republican congressional candidates in competitive races across both the state and the country, he’s been particularly cagey about his position on national abortion policy. The commission received the official 2020 U.S. census data on which the maps must be based, by law, on September 21, 2021.
California Congressional District 45 primary election voter guide - Los Angeles Times
California Congressional District 45 primary election voter guide.
Posted: Thu, 01 Feb 2024 08:00:00 GMT [source]
Redistricting
This includes three Democrats, including incumbent Rep. Adam Schiff (D), four Republicans, one American Independent Party candidate, and one Green Party candidate. Below were the district maps in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the maps in place before the election. One of the Capitol’s more business-friendly Democrats, Salas has represented Hanford and the I-5 side of Kern County in the Assembly since 2012. Like Valadao, he proudly touts his party-bucking bipartisanship. His claims to fame include being the lone Democrat to vote against a gas tax hike in 2017 and authoring an unsuccessful bill to increase penalties on shoplifters earlier this year.
Fresno Casino Owner, Former Navy Combat Pilot Enter Race for McCarthy’s Seat
From Republican Steve Knight to Democrat Katie Hill back to Republican Garcia, this district, once a GOP stronghold, has been ping-ponging between the parties since 2016. In 2020, Garcia, the conservative former Navy pilot and Georgetown graduate, held on to the seat by a mere 333 votes, the third closest outcome of any congressional race in the country that year. And that was before redistricting jettisoned the district’s most conservative outpost in Simi Valley, giving Democratic voters even more of an edge. Don’t let the Democratic advantage among registered voters fool you; this is one of the most fiercely competitive congressional races in the country.
This bill would not only provide needed financing to harden homes and improve community resiliency, but also create a pathway to secure affordable insurance,” said Lisa Badenfort of North Bay Association of Realtors. Santa Rosa – Today, Reps. Mike Thompson (CA-04) and Jared Huffman (CA-02) were joined by realtors, home builders, agriculture leaders, insurance leaders, and fire survivors for a press conference at Santa Rosa’s Coffey Park in support of H.R. 7849, The Disaster Resiliency and Coverage Act of 2024, to help address California’s property insurance crisis.
The rematch between Republican Rep. Ken Calvert and Democrat Will Rollins is one of several 2024 California races that will help determine which party controls the House. The Riverside County seat also became slightly more favorable to Democrats in the last round of redistricting, with the addition of Palm Springs and Rancho Mirage on its eastern edge. “I think Tran has much more of an uphill battle to be able to get his issues and his name into voters’ minds,” DeSipio said. That will be compounded by two things, said UC Irvine political science professor Louis DeSipio. Steel has a massive fundraising advantage, with more than $3 million on hand compared to Tran’s nearly $200,000.
The top two finishers in March, regardless of party, move on to the November general election. For the first time in the top two primary system in a competitive race, there was an exact tie for second in one district, so all three candidates advance to November. Despite the slight reduction in the hiring pool, there are an unusual number of promising openings.
Please note that messages for a specific representative sent to the webmaster will not be forwarded to the representative. Democratic infighting in the 2024 primary, when Salas faced competition from fellow Democrat Melissa Hurtado, cost the party establishment millions to consolidate support behind Salas. Once a safely ruby-red Republican domain, California’s 22nd Congressional District is in a part of the San Joaquin Valley that has grown increasingly purple in recent years, with Democrats now holding the registration advantage. Calvert has a history of voting against LGBTQ+ rights, as The Times has previously reported, but said during the 2022 campaign that his views had since evolved. That record will almost certainly come under fire in the Coachella Valley as he faces off against Rollins, a gay man who lives with his partner in Palm Springs.
This is yet another rematch from 2022, with Democratic former federal prosecutor Will Rollins once again hoping to unseat Rep. Ken Calvert (R-Corona), the longest-serving member of California’s congressional delegation. First elected in 2020, incumbent GOP Rep. Michelle Steel will be fighting to defend her seat in a C-shaped inland Orange County district that also includes a sliver of L.A. The other four races — which include the seats currently held by Reps. Josh Harder (D-Turlock), Mike Levin (D-San Juan Capistrano), Young Kim (R-Placentia) and Kevin Kiley (R-Rocklin) — are in Cook’s slightly less pliable “likely Republican” or “likely Democrat” categories. Those six most competitive races are also all being targeted by both the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and the National Republican Congressional Committee, with establishment party backing likely to bring even more attention and funding into the districts. The C-shaped district spreads across northwestern Orange County and parts of east Los Angeles County, including Garden Grove and Buena Park.
Fourteen of those Democrats voted on Saturday in favor of aid to Israel, while 12 Democrats who voted to allow the package on the floor on Friday then cast votes against the funding itself. Echoing one of the many grievances shared by hard-right Republicans who opposed all of the aid measures, Mr. Good said his support for “Israel’s right to defend itself remains unshakeable” but that he disagreed with a measure that would add to the nation’s debt. The webmaster will not forward messages to congressional offices.
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